ndia’s electric vehicle
revolution faces major hurdles
Published on 28/07/2017, 10:09am
High costs and a lack of public charging stations pose a challenge
to bold EV target, say experts, not helped by inconsistent government policy
An
early Reva electric car model (Pic: Premkudva via Wikimedia Commons)
Ashok Datar bought a Reva, the first
electric car made in India, in 2006 for 600,000 rupees ($9,200 at today’s
prices).
A retired economist and head of the Mumbai Environmental Social
Network, which advocates public transport, Datar wanted to practice what he
preached.
“On the whole, it was a good experience,” he says. “I must
have done about 40,000 kilometres. I changed the lithium batteries, which cost
$3,000, twice, which is steep. With the falling prices of solar power, it
should be possible to charge these vehicles more cheaply.”
Datar is upbeat about India’s ambitious plan to sell only
electric vehicles from 2030, a whole decade before the UK and France. He
enthuses about the potential for power-assisted bicycles and auto rickshaws,
which are more widely affordable than cars.
But there is a long way to go. Only 1% of all passenger vehicles
are electric in a country which is the fifth largest market for such vehicles
in the world. That amounts to 400,000 two-wheelers and a few thousand cars,
according to the Society of Manufacturers of Electric Vehicles (SMEV) in
Delhi.
High prices and a lack of public charging infrastructure are
major barriers to a wider rollout. Limited and sporadic government subsidies go
only part way to addressing those obstacles.
Lithium batteries, which account for 60% of the cost of a
two-wheeler, need replacing every few years and are imported from China, Alok
Ray of SMEV tells Climate Home.
Indian state-backed researchers and private companies are starting to invest in
domestic innovation and manufacturing. Mahindra Electric, a branch of India’s
major automobile manufacturer that bought the Reva from its pioneering
founder in 2010, has funded a start-up called Lithium Urban Technologies in
Bengaluru. But it is early days yet for producers of electric batteries.
Government backing has come in fits and starts, making
investment risky. “The government isn’t clear about its policy to support
electric vehicles,” says Ray. “The ministry of new and renewable energy
withdrew a R5,500 subsidy [$86] for a two-wheeler in 2012. While there was a
market for 100,000 two-wheelers at this reduced price, the next year we only
sold 16,000.”
This ministry provided the subsidy through a $15 million
Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Programme, of which the EV industry
was a beneficiary. After its withdrawal, the market crashed and around 1,000
dealers and eight manufacturers shut down their EV businesses.
Scooters
like Hero Electric’s Optima, with a top speed of 25 km/h, do not require a
driving licence, registration or number plate (Pic: Viswaprabha via Wikimedia
Commons)
In its 2015-16 budget, the government introduced a new subsidy
under FAME – Faster Adoption and Manufacture of Electric (and Hybrid) Vehicles
in India, under which manufacturers are reimbursed 15% of the cost of the
vehicle.
Small petrol or diesel-fuelled models remain cheaper than the
Reva, however. Mahindra Electric produces only 200 electric cars a month.
From 1 July, a 12% goods and services tax will apply to EVs,
further hampering the industry’s growth.
It stands in contrast with China, where government
subsidies nearly halve the cost of EVs, while there are disincentives for
conventional vehicles. It is different, too, to the consumer-driven US market,
where Tesla’s cheapest model retails at $35,000 – far beyond the budget of
Indian buyers.
And a shortage of charging stations, even in cities, limits the
range that EVs can ply. While the exact number is hard to pin down, PlugIn India lists
just 222 community charging stations across the entire country. Electricity
distribution is largely under public control and Indian laws make it difficult
for the private sector to get involved.
The government ministers responsible for road transport,
electricity and oil – Nitin Gadkari, Piyush Goyal and Dharmendra Pradhan respectively
– have floated ideas to boost the emerging industry.
These include stimulating demand by ordering 270,000 EVs,
including 20,000 buses, and making charging stations free for three years,
funded by a cess on oil. It remains to be seen whether these plans will
materialise.
In May, a report by
state-backed think-tank NITI Aayog and Rocky Mountain Institute in the US
called for a 15-year plan to limit registration of conventional vehicles by
lottery.
With better urban design, the report says, much of mobility
demand can be met by non-motorised transit and public transit, while access to
vehicle-charging infrastructure enables higher penetration of electric
vehicles.
To address the lack of charging infrastructure, it recommends
providing standardised, swappable batteries for two- and three-wheelers
(auto rickshaws) on a pay-per-use business model.
The solutions will depend on private sector innovation as well
as government interventions.
This may be taxi or bus companies using their bulk buying
power to bring down prices. In Nagpur, Ola – India’s answer to Uber – has launched a
fleet of 200 EVs, from e-rickshaws to electric buses, supported by 50
charging points across the city. Maharashtra state is waiving VAT, road
tax and registration on EVs to encourage take-up.
Hero MotoCorp, the world’s largest manufacturer of two-wheelers,
is investing in start-up Ather
Energy, which plans to roll out its first indigenous electric
scooter in December, as well as developing EVs internally through its Hero
Electric business.
Ather founder Tarun Mehta tells Climate Home the
company is in talks with owners of malls, offices, restaurants and
grocery stories to install charging stations, and creating a prototype for
residential buildings. Initially, Ather proposes to pay the building for
the electricity and pass it on to customers for free, to kick-start the
model.
The pioneer of India’s EV industry is Chetan Maini, who made the
Reva. Maini’s Virya Mobility 5.0 is now joining hands with SUN New Energy Systems
to form SUN Mobility to accelerate the mass use of EVs. It plans to
deploy a smart network of quick interchange battery stations. “These
stations, predominantly powered by renewable energy, will refuel electric
vehicles at a cost lower and speed faster than conventional petrol pumps,” say
the promoters.
“We have to address the cost of energy, which includes the
battery and electricity,” Maini tells Climate Home. “The Indian market is
price-sensitive, so we have to create solutions that enable such
transformations. The space taken for charging two- and three-wheelers (auto
rickshaws) is less than that required for cars, which present a greater
challenge.”
It the obstacles can be overcome, EVs – combined with
communications technology to make efficient use of them – have enormous
potential to save energy and prevent air pollution. The NITI Aayog report
claims e-mobility will reduce oil demand in 2030 by 156 million tonnes
compared to relying on conventional vehicles, worth around $60 billion at
today’s prices.
If India can get ahead of the game, it also represents a
substantial export opportunity.
EV pioneer Maini says: “The 15 years of experience taught
us that it is very important to go global. We had to deal with different
consumers and markets – the global market was in fact bigger than the domestic
one.
“We learned product development needs: in 2002, hardly anyone
exported anything from India, let alone cars. Our biggest market was the UK,
where the government waived the London congestion tax and reduced parking
charges.
“In hindsight, it was a mistake to rely on the government’s
support. This was a business that should stand on its own feet, with support
from the ground.”
New Delhi has been through a fuel transition before, in 2001,
when it became the first city in the world to require public vehicles to run on
compressed natural gas. The move, intended to reduce air pollution, did not go
smoothly, but it happened. When gas was introduced, Maini recalls, it required
huge tanks at petrol stations and there were endless queues for taxis and
rickshaws to fill their vehicles, as there still are. “With electricity, it is
only wires, so it’s easier to manage. It marks a fundamental shift: it will
call for business sense as well as environmental sense.”
Mohan is fond of challenging the “mythology” that penal measures by themselves lead to better safety.