Friday 26 August 2016




httpw.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-unpalatable-truths-2248226
 rations for malnourished children taste of corruption
DARRYL D’MONTE | Wed, 24 Aug 2016, Mumbai , DNA
Unpalatable truths
http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-unpalatable-truths-2248226
The more things change, the more they remain the same. This certainly is true of scams that continue despite a regime change in governments. The current controversy over “take-home rations” in Maharashtra, where Women & Child Development Minister Pankaja Munde has been accused of permitting substandard food to be doled out to vulnerable infants, pregnant women and adolescent girls, harks back to similar accusations against the Congress-NCP government in the state.
The Congress and other opposition parties have accused Munde’s department of floating a Rs6,300 crore tender for the supply of ready-to-cook food to 40 lakh recipients in 70 blocks — as against 553 blocks earlier — for the Integrated Child Development Scheme (ICDS) projects in the state. This was not in consonance with a 2004 Supreme Court order to decentralise the supply of this supplementary nutrition, so as to involve local village communities and women’s self-help groups.
The opposition alleged that this would permit private contractors and commercial manufacturers enter this multi-crore business, which the apex court had banned in 2014. Recently, the Aurangabad bench of the Bombay High Court struck down the tender, which reduced the number of blocks to 70, on the ground that it didn’t meet the Supreme Court’s decentralisation objective.
This isn’t the first time that Munde has come under fire regarding such supplements. Last year, she was accused of clearing in a single day tenders worth Rs206 crores for snacks and other materials for ICDS anganwadis or creches. After the 2004 Supreme Court order, the Maharashtra government laid down that no single self-help group should supply these requirements to more than five anganwadis to prevent abuses of the system.
But the Congress government can hardly claim it is above board in this respect. Out of the Rs206 crores, the largest contract was worth Rs104 crores for chikki, or peanut brittle, without calling for e-tenders, as was required for any order over Rs3 lakhs. It was awarded to Pradnya Parab, a local Congress politician who heads an NGO called the Suryakant Mahila Audyogik Sahakari Sanstha which had an annual turnover of over Rs300 crores in Sindhudurg. The chikki was found to be inedible. As a consequence of the controversy, the Sanstha now has a turnover of just Rs2 crores a year and has had to cut down its operations and work force, comprising women.
The apex court ordered that food should be fresh, local and served hot. In 2009, a Congress-NCP coalition sub-committee made no mention of chikki or ayurvedic biscuits, which were introduced two years later. In 2008, Union Woman and Child Welfare Minister Renuka Chowdhury tried to introduce centrally produced packaged food to anganwadis but was opposed by her own government. Among other objections, it was pointed out that such fortified food was not easily digested by a severely malnourished child.
In the state assembly, Munde admitted that in some cases, substandard ingredients were found in the chikki and stocks were recalled. She also acknowledged that a single contract worth Rs80 crores was awarded to supply children chikki in anganwadis. However, she also cited, in her defence, how Suryakanta was awarded contracts worth Rs52 crores and Rs23 crores in 2012 and 2013 respectively.
The role of the Congress was exposed in 2012 during a case filed by the People’s Union of Civil Liberties in 2001 against the central government, asking for the removal of “contractors” for the supply of hot, cooked meals and take-home rations in the ICDS. The Supreme Court’s Commissioners, NC Saxena and Harsh Mander, asked the court’s adviser Biraj Patnaik to file a report on the supply of supplementary rations in Maharasthtra. He pointed out how there were huge irregularities in this supply, in violation of the court’s orders. Though not specifically proven, there was “a nexus between politicians, bureaucrats and private contractors…leading to large-scale corruption and leakages”. One senior official remained in the same post for a decade.
Even when these contracts were given to mahila mandals, these were subcontracted to private contractors, violating the letter and spirit of the apex court’s orders. This could not have happened without “the active complicity at the highest levels of governance in Maharashtra”.
Patnaik looked at contracts awarded to three mahila mandals, though not Suryakant. They had in turn outsourced the production of take-home rations to private agro-companies. None had their own production facilities. He established that de jure and de facto, the ownership of the mandals and these companies was in the hands of the same family. In each case, the mandal had formed a sub-committee to oversee the production and financial affairs of a unit owned by family members of the same sub-committee.
He referred to how previous investigations had led to the cancellation of a similar contact in Karnataka of Christy Fried Grams Industry, a private company, following two years of persistent follow-up with that state government.
In UP, a contract had been awarded to a company called Great Value Foods, owned by the controversial Ponty Chadha, again violating the court’s orders.
In Maharashtra, apart from the subversion of the rules, the quality of the rations has been atrocious, leading to it being sold as cattle feed in some cases. The food packets lacked any nutrition and often were contaminated with fungi and termites. The Woman and Child Welfare Department had refused to take any action, arguing — following time-tested bureaucratic stonewalling — that the case was sub judice.
Patnaik rues the fact that, according to National Family Survey 3, as many as 5,000 children die every day in the country due to preventable causes, including malnutrition. “The ICDS is the only institutional mechanism of the Government to deal with issues of children under the age of six. The Government spends close to Rs8,000 crore a year on the provision of supplementary nutrition. It is unconscionable that a country with the highest rates of child malnutrition, globally, allows rampant corruption to undermine the ICDS and thereby the future of its children,” he concludes.
It has now been reported that some 83,000 children in this age group have been classified as severely underweight in Maharashtra last year, with the mortality of such children rising three times. This may partly have to do with the drought. To add insult to injury, the budget of the Women & Child Development department has been reduced by 62 per cent. Nature and human greed have combined to reduce the state’s human development indices to abysmal levels.
The author is chairperson, Forum of Environmental Journalists of India (FEJI)


Saturday 20 August 2016



http://indiatogether.org/when-cities-go-under-environment

http://indiatogether.org/when-cities-go-under-environment

MUMBAI'S WOES

When cities go under

Mumbai is closer to finalising its 20-year development plan, from 2014 to 2034. The plan might be hiding more than it reveals, writes Darryl D'Monte.
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20 August 2016 -
It is almost surreal to witness how this monsoon has confirmed Amitav Ghosh’s direst predictions in his latest book The Great Derangement: Climate Change and the Unthinkable about extreme events being the consequence of climate change.
Gurgaon and Bengaluru have been marooned, as have parts of Mumbai. Although one can’t attribute global factors as being directly responsible for these occurrences, there is no doubt that heavy downpours are being influenced by the climate and becoming more frequent as well as more intense. Chennai was witness to this last year.
The series of book launches and interviews that Ghosh was giving also coincided with the eleventh anniversary of the mega flood that took place in Mumbai on July 26, 2005. As much as 944 mm (37 inches) fell over the suburbs in 24 hours, with three-quarters of this in just five hours, bringing the city to its knees. About 450 people died and the city – the country’s financial capital -- suffered an economic loss of Rs 2,800 crores. The airports were shut for a couple of days.
At his launch in Mumbai, Ghosh cited how the megapolis was certain to face inundations in the not too distant future with rising sea levels as a consequence of climate change. Mumbaikars may be deluding themselves by believing that cyclonic activity afflicts the east coast with the Bay of Bengal but in 2015, more cyclones hit the west coast than the east. Gujarat faced one in June which killed at least 80 and flooded, among areas, the Gir Forest National Park, the country’s sole lion sanctuary. Karachi, another coastal city, was affected too.
In the Indian Ocean, the desert country of Yemen was hit was two “rare” and deadly cyclones within a week. A resident of an island off the coast told Al Jazeera that they had not seen such strong winds and rain in decades. "We are expecting a true disaster to befall us," he said. According to meteorologists, the storm was the worst in 55 years and this area of Yemen, a desert country, received a year’s rainfall in just two days.
Ghosh mentioned that Mumbai, unlike New York, another coastal mega city, does not have the advantage of barrier islands which act as protection against rising sea levels – The Hungry Tide, as he titled his earlier novel. His remarks would have unsettled most in the audience. The irony is that the most affluent citizens who live along the coast would be the first to be hit; even those in skyscrapers would have little consolation if they were confined to their high-rise apartment complexes, with the waves swirling below them.
Unlike the eastern coast where Andhra Pradesh and Orissa have been accustomed to facing cyclones and have put in place good evacuation plans, Mumbai has no disaster management operations worth the name. What is more, where would the well-to-do go? Most middle class citizens have lost touch with the rural hinterland, unlike those who live in slum colonies and do have a fallback.
In 2005, the island city was almost severed from the suburbs as levels of the Mithi river rose and threatened to inundate a bridge over it for the local railways, which are seen as the “lifeline” of the city. One of the worst ironies is that 41 people are still described as “missing”: obviously, they were simply swept away by the torrential downpour, leaving no trace whatsoever. This could well be a premonition of worse to come.
Ghosh cited how there were basically four major arterial roads which run in a north-south direction in Mumbai. In the event of a disaster, these would simply be jam-packed with vehicles, bringing traffic to a grinding halt. This is exactly what happened in July 2005, when the only way some minimal relief could be delivered was by boats, which was not planned for. 
Some of the myopia which Ghosh refers to in his book regarding the unwillingness or inability to contemplate the impacts of climate change was very evident in Gurgaon.
As a recent article by Prof Sanjay Srivastava, author of Entangled Urbanism: Slum, Gated Community and Shopping Mall in Delhi and Gurgaon, underlines, DLF builders wrote to the Haryana Town & Country Planning Department in 1979 asking for permission to convert 200 acres at the original site in a village Chakkarpur into an urban residential complex.
While a senior bureaucrat objected, he was overruled and permission was obtained in 18 months.  There was no planning of any kind, but a free-for-all approach, with roads not being demarcated properly. Drainage was given short shrift and the state ceded its responsibility for creating basic infrastructure before construction of residential and commercial spaces. There was a glaring discrepancy between the lives of the rich in gated communities and the poor who were left to the mercy of sewerage waters this monsoon. But recently, even well-off commuters were caught in traffic snarls for hours, as were those in Mumbai in 2005.
Mumbai is likely to see further deluges as it finalises its 20-year development plan, from 2014-2034. Last year citizens were so outraged about the glaring mistakes in the plan, as well as the over-reliance on market forces by permitting “Transit-oriented Development” with the floor-space index (FSI)going up to a staggering 8, that the plan had to be shelved.
The deadline for handing in objections to the revised plan expired on July 29 this year. Citizens were given just two months to comment on a 1,000-page document, which even architects found difficult to digest. One of the main objections to it has come from Apna Mumbai Abhiyan, a coalition of 37 citizens’ organisations.
Drafted by the NGO Nivara Hakk and the architect-activist P.K. Das, it questions where the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) is going to find 3,330 hectares for “affordable housing” when it hasn’t reserved such land for it.
The draft plan cites that most of such land - 2,100 ha - will come from “No-Development Zones”, which are areas kept for future infrastructure and other needs.  Another 1,100 ha will come from “Tourism Development Zones” along the coast in the northernmost suburbs, which is a contradiction in terms. The remaining 130 ha will come from salt pans.
The suspicion is that by proposing this socially meaningful measure, the BMC is trying to camouflage the fact that it will actually obtain such land from what it terms “natural areas”, on which construction is forbidden. The Abhiyan notes that over the years, “we have witnessed large-scale destruction of mangroves, illegal land-filling, disposal of debris and garbage into creeks, rivers and lakes. Even the sea fronts have been treated as dumping grounds.”
The Sanjay Gandhi National Park – Mumbai is unique in being the only mega city in the world to posses such a precious natural asset – has also been whittled away by builders. Now even the adjacent Aarey milk colony - one of the two large remaining green spaces in a city where each citizen has access to only 1.2 sq metres of open space - may see the construction of a depot for a Metro line. This will certain set in motion a gradual conversion of such land into real estate.
Instances abound of such conversion. The Sahara group has illegally landfilled mangroves and the Malad creek in the western suburbs, till it was forced to stop. This area has been marked in the plan as a No-Development Zone, which means it could be used for construction later on. The mangroves are already growing back there and it should be designated as a natural area. There is also the fear that roads to access No-Development Zones will have to pass through contiguous natural areas, thereby posing a threat to them.
As Mumbaikars realised in 2005, Mumbai has a network of rivers like the Mithi as well as nullahs, which deserve to be kept free of all encroachments to ensure that they absorb the excess rainfall during a downpour. However, the plan hasn’t specified the length of such rivers and nullahs, which are entitled – under the BMC’s own regulations – to a 6-metre buffer on either side, to allow these water bodies to be cleaned regularly and particularly before the monsoons.
In a comprehensive mapping of Mumbai a couple of years ago, which was exhibited in the National Gallery of Modern Art in the city, Das calculated that natural areas -- ponds and lakes, rivers, nullahs and creeks, hills and forests, wetlands and salt pans, mangroves and beaches – comprised 14,493 ha – almost twice as much as the plan does at 7,537 ha. There can’t possibly be such a huge discrepancy and this only heightens the suspicion that the plan hides more than it reveals.
Darryl D'Monte
20 August 2016

Monday 8 August 2016


Impacts

http://indiaclimatedialogue.net/2016/08/08/climate-change-will-claim-160000-lives-year-india-2050/

Climate change will claim 160,000 lives a year in India by 2050

,  08.08.16 

As global warming starts lowering food production around the world, many more people will die in densely populated and vulnerable countries such as India
Food production is expected to decline as our planet heats up. (Photo by Michael Foley)
Food production is expected to decline as our planet heats up. (Photo by Michael Foley)
As many as 160,000 people will die every year in India by 2050 due to decreased food production because of climate change, an Oxford University study has predicted. India ranks second in the mortality forecast after China, where as many as 248,000 are expected to die for this reason. Surprisingly, the US ranks fifth, after Vietnam and Bangladesh.
Asked whether China wouldn’t face fewer deaths than India, considering that India will have overtaken its population by around 2030, and China has a higher standard of living, Marco Springmann, lead author of the study by the Oxford Martin Future of Food programme in the university, told indiaclimatedialogue.net, “It also depends on mortality rates and the magnitude of climate and yield shocks. The US comes in fifth because of its high population and its vulnerability to climate shocks.”
Worldwide, there would be 529,000 more deaths due to climate-related factors midway this century. The study, which was published in the UK health journal Lancet in March, used models to estimate the health impacts due to shortages of food crops caused by changes in climate. It assessed the risk to human health caused by reduced consumption of fruits and vegetables, red meat consumption and changes in body weight. This could lead to deaths due to heart disease, stroke, cancer and other ailments.
“In our study, we accounted for the feedbacks between grain as feedstock and grain for human consumption, and we took into account standard population projections,” Springmann said. It calculated the change in the number of deaths attributed to climate-related factors to lowering of body weight and reduction in diet in different emissions scenarios – ranging from high to medium to low.
Lower food availability
By 2050, in the 155 countries analysed, climate change will lower people’s availability of food by 3.2%, fruits and vegetables by 4% and red meat by 0.7%. “Twice as many climate-related deaths were associated with reductions in fruit and vegetable consumption than with climate-related increases in the prevalence of underweight, and most climate-related deaths were projected to occur in south and East Asia,” the study says.
Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, who leads a team on climate change and health at the World Health Organisation (WHO), told iindiaclimatedialogue.net, “WHO has been saying for almost a decade that climate change is perhaps the greatest threat to public health of the current century, and we have been highlighting that one of the main risks of climate change is through impacts on food and nutrition security, for even longer.”
“However, while it is clear that agricultural production is sensitive to weather and climate and therefore must be affected by climate change, there are few studies that quantify how this may eventually impact health – so the current work is an important addition to our knowledge.”
Sowing paddy in Tamil Nadu. (Photo by Michael Foley)
Sowing paddy in Tamil Nadu. (Photo by Michael Foley)
The Oxford study confirms that the impact on food supply and food security “could be one of the most important consequences of climate change in view of the large number of individuals that might be affected”. The changes could reduce the food harvested, leading to higher prices and reduced consumption, and to an increase in the number of malnourished people. Agricultural and regional food availability also affects the composition of diets.
In 2010, the WHO’s Global Burden of Disease study reported that most deaths throughout the world were attributable to dietary risk factors associated with imbalanced diets. In developing countries these were diets low in fruits and vegetables, while in affluent countries, these were related to red and processed meat consumption.
As the Oxford study points out, “The increasing importance of dietary risk factors represents a general trend away from communicable diseases associated with undernutrition and poor sanitation to non-communicable diseases associated with high bodyweight and unbalanced diets.”
Quantitative risk assessment
In 2014, the WHO published a quantitative risk assessment of the impact of climate change on selected causes of deaths in 2030 and 2050. It quantified climate-related mortality according to heat, coastal flooding, diarrhoeal disease, malaria, dengue and undernutrition. It estimated that due to climate change, an additional 38,000 elderly people would die due to exposure to heat, 48,000 people to diarrhoea, 60,000 to malaria and 95,000 children due to malnutrition in 2030.
By the middle of this century, it attributed the biggest toll to heat, which would claim an additional 95,000 deaths annually, while undernutrition would come a close second with 85,000 deaths. “By 2050,” the study points out, “impacts of climate change on mortality are projected to be the greatest in south Asia.”
Since India is by far the biggest country in this region, it will suffer the most on this account. The excess number of deaths annually due to heat in south Asia would be 21,648 in 2030 and 62,821 in 2050. However, with proper adaptation measures to cope with climate change, these numbers could fall sharply.
At the same time, the WHO notes that global predictions of deaths due to heat in the decades to come indicate “there is a significant burden on mortality. Hot weather is also known to affect mortality and morbidity in other age groups, and this may indicate that the results [of its study] are an underestimate of the total burden on health.” The WHO estimates that by 2030, there would be 241,000 additional deaths due to climate change, going up marginally to 245,000 in 2050.
“Our overall estimate is higher than that of the WHO because we looked at different risk factors that were not covered by the WHO assessment, but that impact a broad spectrum of the population. The impacts of climate change on food affect everybody, because everybody eats. In contrast, some of the vector-borne diseases analysed by the WHO are constrained to certain regions,” Springmann toldindiaclimatedialogue.net.
“We have also pointed out that our own previous estimates are conservative (low), precisely because they do not cover the full range of ways in which we expect climate change to impact on health – as we have lacked quantitative studies of many of the likely mechanisms,” said Campbell-Lendrum. “The current work (by Oxford University) is therefore also welcome in that it broadens the range of evidence beyond simply calories, to include the type and quality of the food that we will have available.”
Climate change will lead to yield shocks. (Photo by Rajarshi Mitra)
Climate change will lead to yield shocks. (Photo by Rajarshi Mitra)
“Although the numbers are not directly comparable, the scale of the difference between the new estimates and those which we published a couple of years ago are quite surprising. The largest differences appear to be because of the impacts on consumption of fruits and vegetables,” Campbell-Lendrum said. “This is plausible as we know that low levels of consumption of these types of foods are now a major killer – but it is important to point out that there has been much less research on the effect of climate change on the production, and then the availability, of fruits and vegetables, than there has been on staple crops.”
Wanted: stronger public health programmes
The Oxford study points to how adaptation to climate change can mitigate the impact on mortality. It points to the need for stronger public health programmes – in India, for instance, the employment of anganwadi workers who measure the weight of infants every month to monitor their progress. This can prevent and treat diet and weight-related ailments.
Vandana Prasad, a paediatrician who works with the Jan Swasthya Abhiyan and is part of the right to food campaign, told indiaclimatedialogue.net, “The study adds a welcome fresh angle to the growing body of evidence suggesting dangerous trends of food insecurity currently and in the near future.”
“It is of course an issue that is likely to lead to both increases in undernutrition and overnutrition, and increased deaths from both infections as well as non-communicable diseases in the same countries, since they happen to be in transition with different socio economic groups affected differentially by the same pathways. The use of large global databases is also likely to hide even graver consequences for certain groups such as tribal communities and the poorest of the poor,” Prasad said.
“However, without an analysis of the political economy of climate change and factors affecting food security and diversity, it is highly unlikely that this evidence will provoke any fundamental alterations in the policy environment that could avert or mitigate the current grave inequity in food security and diversity in India.”
The Oxford study identifies areas where further research is required. One is the impact of climate change on crops that policymakers consider less important than staples like rice and wheat — like fruits and vegetables, which play a greater role in people’s health. Impacts on crops like groundnuts, maize, potatoes, sorghum and soybeans are also well known while those on other crops have to be analysed after taking their biophysical similarities into account.
High uncertainty
Secondly, agricultural commodity markets are already highly volatile in economic terms and this is accentuated with climatic shocks, making them subject to high uncertainty. “It is also important to point out that the eventual impacts of climate change on agricultural practices, then on food trade, availability and price and then, dietary choices, are not set in stone. They will depend at least as much on our policy and individual choices, including what we do in response to climate change, as to the effects of climate change itself,” Campbell-Lendrum told indiaclimatedialogue.net.
“In practical terms, the (Oxford) study reinforces the need for adaptation to climate change, and a greater focus on equity and sustainability in food and nutrition policy, in order to protect health. It also underlines the need to promote stronger mitigation policies, to limit the damage that climate change will do to environmental determinants of health such as food and nutrition security, but also water and sanitation, among others. We also know that there are large opportunities to promote agricultural practices and diets that will reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, and promote health.”

Sunday 7 August 2016


http://indiatogether.org/how-badly-designed-and-unsafe-environment

NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

How badly designed and unsafe

The 30th and 5th anniversaries this year of the Chernobyl and Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents respectively are the right occasions to examine India’s record in this sector, writes Darryl D’Monte.



The Atomic Energy Act of 1962 specifically empowers the central government not to divulge information regarding “An existing or proposed plant used or proposed to be used for the purpose of producing, developing or using atomic energy.”
This draconian law has deterred many campaigners from exposing chinks in the nuclear power industry. One of the leading activists on this front was the journalist Praful Bidwai, who tragically passed away last year. He was a founding member of the Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament & Peace (CNDP).
He wrote a series of articles in the Times of India in 1982, exposing how workers at the Tarapur Atomic Power Station (TAPS) received dosages of radiation over 5 rads a year – a limit imposed by the Department of Atomic Energy (DAE) itself. His articles were based on confidential documents and investigations of the DAE. However, the DAE Chairman held a press conference where he didn’t deny the radiation hazards but argued that they didn’t have any harmful health impacts.
A distinguished precursor was a long article by the American journalist and anti-nuclear activist Paul Jacobs, who visited India during the emergency in 1976. He was the co-founder of Mother Jones journal, which still exists and his article in the inaugural issue that year was titled “What You Don’t Know May Hurt You”. It was also about the shoddy operation of the Tarapur plant. (Disclosure: I helped Jacob speak to India’s nuclear experts.)
Jacobs was tipped off at home when an anonymous employee of General Electric (GE) dropped off a dossier at his house containing details of the defective US reactor design at TAPS. The most shocking revelation was his description of how workers were stirring radioactive waste with long bamboo poles, fully exposed to radiation. Since it appeared during the emergency, it was all the more sensational. Pro-DAE hacks, including a senior editor at the Times of India, wrote articles denying that Jacobs had even visited the plant.
Jacobs died two years later. He was the subject of the 1980 documentary titled Paul Jacobs and the Nuclear Gang, which investigated the health impact on residents of reckless nuclear tests by the US in the Nevada desert. He believed his cancer, which would claim his life during the making of the documentary, had been caused by his work around exposing the dangers of nuclear power and weapons.
Expensive and risky
This March, David Schlissel, Director of Resource Planning Analysis of the US-based Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis  (IEEFA), published his scathing report titled Bad Choice: The Risks, Costs and Viability of Proposed US Nuclear Reactors in India.
In an article based on it, he first dealt with the Kovvada project in Andhra Pradesh, which employs a new, untested  Economic Simplified Boiling Water Reactor or ESBWR design from General Electric-Hitachi. It has never been used at a commercial nuclear plant and isn’t being built anywhere else.
Experience with such one-off plants shows that they end up costing much more than anticipated and encounter problems during construction and operation. He lists difficulties with such technologies in the US and Europe:
  • The estimated cost of the four new design Westinghouse A1000 reactors under construction in the US has increased by more than 20 per cent since construction began three years ago, and the reactors’ estimated in-service dates have slipped by about three years.  Additional cost increases and schedule delays at these projects are likely, if not certain.
  • Even more striking is that the estimated costs of building the new design European Pressurized Reactors (EPRs) in Finland and France have more than tripled since construction began. The scheduled completion of the plant in Finland has slipped by nine years, from 2009 to 2018, while the scheduled opening of the EPR in France has slipped by six years.
(On May 3 according to the Telegraph, France's ailing nuclear giant, Areva, faced a major scandal after the country’s nuclear watchdog confirmed there have been “irregularities” in 400 parts produced in its reactors since 1965, and that “around 50 are currently in service in France’s nuclear power plant fleet”.
France’s independent Nuclear Safety Authority said the “irregularities” were listed in an audit it had ordered from Areva after it detected a “very serious anomaly" in a reactor vessel in the country’s Flamanville European [internationally known as Evolutionary] Pressurised Reactor (EPR) nuclear plant, the same model Britain plans to use for two new plants at Hinkley Point.)
Schlissel’s first conclusion is that the Kovvada plant will prove very expensive and the first units are unlikely to generate electricity on a commercial scale till 2031. Land acquisition hasn’t even begun yet. Meanwhile, the bugbear of the US-India nuclear accord – the waiver of liability on the part of US suppliers of technology for nuclear accidents – is deterring GE from investing in India.
Secondly, without very large subsidies, the price of power at Kovvada in the first year of operation will range between Rs 19.80 to Rs 32.77 per kilowatt hour (kWh, a unit of power). This is some five to nine times the current cost of power in India.
Thirdly, the total investment will be between Rs 4 lakh crores ($60 billion) and Rs 6.8 lakh crores ($100 billion). As Schlissel states, “It is questionable as to whether the Indian government will be able to finance such a project (along with the one at Mithi Virdi in Gujarat) while continuing to pursue its current investments in coal mines, coal-rail freight, renewable resources and energy efficiency.”
Lastly, it carries a high degree of operational risk since there is no previous experience of running an ESBWR plant. There is no telling how well the reactors will operate and how much power they will actually generate. These unknowns will impact the cost of such electricity.
The Mithi Virdi project poses similar risks since it envisages building six reactors, once again not using a design which is yet in use anywhere in the world. This design has faced significant cost escalations and construction delays when reactors were being built in the US and China.
According to Schlissel, Mithi Virdi, which employs an untried Westinghouse A1000 design, will be very expensive to build and its first unit is unlikely to go on stream before 2029. Considering that the land hasn’t been acquired yet and a contract hasn’t been signed, that looks unlikely.
He believes that the cost will be between Rs 11.18 to Rs 22.12 per kWh, or three to five times the current cost of generating power in India from coal. Its construction will cost somewhere between Rs 2.4 lakh crore ($34 billion) to Rs 4.5 lakh crore ($68 billion).
He notes that in contrast to the cost of building new reactors, solar tariffs in India have declined by 65 per cent just since 2010, and further steep declines are expected in the years ahead. Already, costs have dropped to around Rs 4.50 a unit.  IEEFA sees solar costing less than Rs 3 by the time the first units at Mithi Virdi will be on stream.
“The main conclusion of our report,” concludes Schlissel, “is that neither nuclear power project is economically or financially viable, both would take much longer than expected to build, both would result in higher bills for ratepayers, and both—if they are built—might not work as advertised. Investing in new solar photovoltaic capacity would be a much lower-cost option, would be significantly less harmful to the environmental, and would be a far more sustainable alternative to Mithi Virdi and Kovvada.”
Zia Mian and M.V. Ramana, who are with the Programme on Science and Global Security at Princeton University and members of the International Panel on Fissile Materials, broadly concur with this view in this article. .
They point out how India’s DAE is committed to the separation of plutonium from the spent fuel from nuclear reactors (dubbed “reprocessing”). “It has also pursued the construction of a special kind of nuclear power plant called a fast breeder reactor that makes more plutonium than it consumes as fuel. Most countries with nuclear energy have never gone down this route; of the few countries that have tried, most have abandoned it.
“Nonetheless, India continues to pursue this goal despite the fact that the two technologies underlying this way of generating nuclear energy, reprocessing and fast breeder reactors, have proven hugely expensive and highly problematic.”
Security and transport concerns
In the last of a four-part article in www.publicintegrity.org in December 2015, investigative reporter Adrian Levy and R. Jeffrey Smith in Washington caution against the lax security around India’s nuclear power plants. 
At the Kalpakkam plant in Tamil Nadu in October 2014, a head constable from the Central Industrial Security Force opened fire on his colleagues, killing three of them.
He was disturbed, but the episode demonstrated what officials in Indian and outside India “depict as serious shortcomings in the country’s nuclear guard force, tasked with defending one of the world’s largest stockpiles of fissile material and nuclear explosives.”
In 2007, similar lapses had occurred when an employee at the Kaiga nuclear reactor deliberately poisoned several others, subjecting them to a radiation dose 150 times that in a chest x-ray.
The authors believe that an estimated 90 to 110 Indian nuclear bombs are stored in six or so government-run sites patrolled by the same security force, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, an independent think-tank, and Indian officials.Within the next two decades, as many as 57 reactors could also be operating under the force’s protection, along with the four plants where spent nuclear fuel is dissolved in chemicals to separate out plutonium to make new fuel or be used in nuclear bombs.
When US officials made their first-ever visit to the restricted Bhabha Atomic Research Centre in Mumbai, where India makes plutonium for its nuclear weapons, their observations about its security practices were unsettling. “Security at the site was moderate,” a cable from November 2008, approved by embassy Chargé d’Affaires Stephen White, told officials in Washington. Identification checks at the front gate were “quick but not thorough”, and visitor badges lacked photographs, meaning they were easy to replicate or pass around.
A security unit at the centre’s main gate appeared to be armed with shotguns or semi-automatic Russian-style rifles, the cable noted, but as the US delegation moved towards the Dhruva reactor, where the nuclear explosive material is actually produced, there were no “visible external security systems”.
The authors report how an industrialist who provides regular private advice to Prime Minister Narendra Modi about domestic and foreign strategic issues said in an interview that due to India’s poor roads and rail links, “our nuclear sector is especially vulnerable. How can we safely transport anything, when we cannot say for certain that it will get to where it should, when it should”.
The adviser said that as a result, fissile materials in India have been moved around in unmarked trucks that “look like milk tankers”, without obvious armed escorts, to avoid the consternation that would ensue if a security convoy attempted to navigate traffic-choked roads.
The authors interviewed a British Foreign Office official, who describing the current American mindset, said: “Nothing can be allowed to get in the way of investment in the capacious Indian market. India has effectively bought itself breathing space over a lot of concerning issues, especially nuclear security, by opening itself up for the first time to significant trades with the US and Europe.”  The financial gains, he said, are “eye-watering”.
According to the US Commerce Department, trade with India  grew from $19 billion in 2000 to more than $100 billion in 2014. US exports exceeded $38 billion — including substantial new US arms shipments — supporting 181,000 American  jobs. Indian direct investment in the US totalled $7.8 billion while US investments in India reached $28 billion.
Washington, the British official explained, does not wish to provoke a spat over nuclear security simply because doing so could threaten this lucrative trade, which benefits many US companies.
P.S: On May 12, Reuters reported that the French nuclear power company EDF will deliver a proposal to the Indian government by year's end to build six nuclear reactors in what could be the world's biggest nuclear deal.
EDF in January announced a preliminary agreement with the Nuclear Power Corp of India Ltd to build six EPR nuclear reactors at Jaitapur in western India.

NUCLEAR DANGER What Chernobyl and Fukushima remind us

NUCLEAR DANGER

What Chernobyl and Fukushima remind us

The 30th anniversary on April 26 of the catastrophic accident at the nuclear power station in Chernobyl, which is now part of an independent Ukraine, has gone unnoticed in the Indian media. One can ignore the lessons – as well as those of the Fukushima plant, the fifth anniversary of which also falls this year – only at our peril, given the huge investments India is making in this energy sector, writes Darryl D’Monte.
 
Greenpeace commissioned scientists and experts to bring out a report this March titled Nuclear Scars: The lasting legacies of Chernobyl and Fukushima.  They reviewed the scientific literature on these two accidents and radiation experts did field studies to examine the radiation, health hazards and environmental damage they caused.
As with Bhopal in 1984, there is no conclusive number of deaths in the aftermath of either nuclear accident. The World Health Organisation (WHO) reported that there were 9,000 additional fatalities after Chernobyl. But Greenpeace cites a Belarus scientist who predicted based on radiation exposure calculations that there would be 90,000 excess cancer deaths in countries contaminated by the accident.
In Fukushima, 573 deaths have been described as “disaster-related” by 13 municipalities in 2012. The radioactivity released was an order of magnitude lower than that released from Chernobyl, and some 80 per cent of the radioactivity was deposited over the Pacific Ocean; preventive actions taken by the Japanese government may have substantially reduced the health impact of the radioactivity release.
One of the Greenpeace report’s main findings was the lack of consultation with the victims of the two accidents and to establish what degree of risk they were ready to accept these many years later. Their human rights were violated and the nuclear industry was attempting to avoid the full costs of rehabilitation.

Thirty years after the catastrophe Greenpeace revisited the site of the Chernobyl disaster in the abandoned town of Pripyat. Pic: Denis Sinyakov/Greenpeace
In an article titled Nuclear Waste Pollution is an Existential Risk that Threatens Global Health in the website Transhumanity.net in April, Margaret Morris cites the philosopher Nick Bostrom.  Writing about “Existential Risks”, published in the Journal of Evolution and Technology, he asserted: “Our future, and whether we will have a future at all, may well be determined by how we deal with these challenges.”
Hundreds of thousands of people have been permanently displaced by Chernobyl and Fukushima. The United Nations Special Rapporteur to the Human Rights Council, Anand Grover, who is based in Delhi, has said that Japan’s evacuee return policy is not “in consonance” with the human right to health. He has also stated that the return of evacuees should only be “when the radiation dose has been reduced as far as possible” below the permissible limit.
In both locations, the health impacts have been extensive. Morris points out the dangers of just one radioactive material – Plutonium 240 or Pu-240. It has a half-life – meaning the time it takes for the radioactive decay to decrease by half – of 6,560 years.
Pu-239 has a half-life of 24,000 years and will remain radioactive for half a million years. But as Pu-239 decays, it transforms to Uranium 235 or U-235, which has a half-life of 600-700 million years.
According to a 1975 article in New Scientist, “If it is inhaled, 10 micrograms of Pu-239 is likely to cause fatal lung cancer.” Experts estimate that Pu-239 is so noxious that only one pound would be enough to kill everyone on the planet if it were so evenly dispersed in the air that everyone inhaled it.
The lesson to be learned, but isn’t, is that Pu-239 is a by-product of generating electricity from nuclear reactors, as well as from producing nuclear bombs. As of 2014, there were 435 nuclear power plants in 31 countries around the world.
As many as nine pounds of Pu-239 are used to make a bomb. As of 2015, there were 15,695 nuclear weapons in nine countries.
According to Morris, “Some of these weapons are 35 years old, but have a shelf-life of only 25 years. These aging weapons are undergoing corrosion, oxidation and other detrimental changes, and they must constantly be maintained and upgraded to prevent them from becoming an imminent threat to life on earth. They are primary war targets. The situation emphasizes the need for absolute global peace.” By some reckoning, India and Pakistan, both nuclear powers, can prove the most dangerous flashpoint in the world for this very reason.
As part of the US weapons programme between 1944 and 1988, a staggering 114 tonnes of Pu-239 were produced in nuclear reactors at the Hanford Works facility, in Washington state, and at the Savannah River Site in South Carolina.
Hanford stores about 50 million gallons of high-level radioactive nuclear and chemically hazardous wastes in underground storage tanks that were not designed for long-term storage. Roughly a third of these tanks have leaked, so that at least a million gallons of radioactive waste has reached the natural environment.
Hanford is the most toxic site in the U.S., and among the most toxic places on earth. Over 1,000 contaminated sites at Hanford have been identified. Groundwater aquifers are polluted for over 200 square miles beyond. The US alone stores tens of thousands of tonnes of spent fuel containing Pu-239 and other highly radioactive materials from the various reactor cores.
Following the earthquake and ensuing tsunami in Japan in 2011, high levels of Pu-239 were released into the atmosphere and the ocean from the Daiichi nuclear power plant at Fukushima. The radioactive plumes circled around the earth every 40 days and contaminated the Pacific ocean, its marine life and many cities beyond. Morris writes that the ocean-borne plume is likely to reach the US coast, carried by currents, by 2017.
The Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami. Pic: Wikipedia
As an accident, Chernobyl released ten times more radioactive material than Fukushima. According to the WHO, it was 200 times greater than the impact of the atom bombs at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It was a combination of human error and design flaws that caused two quick explosions in one reactor at the plant. This is similar to what occurred two years earlier in Bhopal – the world’s worst industrial, as opposed to a power plant, accident.
Ukraine, Belarus and Russia, then all still part of the Soviet Union, received the most radioactive fallout. But all of Europe was affected at a lower level, with Scandinavia and the Alps worst hit. The authorities cordoned off a 30-km belt around the plant.
The main contaminant was radioactive iodine, which causes thyroid cancer, particularly among children, and Caesium-137, which passes through the food chain, affecting milk, fish and other products. According to the intergovernmental International Atomic Energy Agency, caesium has contaminated 13,000 sq km in the Fukushima prefecture.
As Greenpeace reports, “The Chernobyl disaster caused irreversible damage to the environment that will last for thousands of years. Never in human history has such a large quantity of long-lived radioisotopes been released into the environment by a single event.”
It has enormous financial consequences for Ukraine, which is a poor country. Since its independence in 1991, it has spent $10 billion to mitigate the impacts of the accident, while neighbouring Belarus has spent almost twice as much. Ukraine no longer has the funds to protect its people from the continuing danger, putting its people at risk.
Thirty years after, more than 10,000 sq km of land is still unsuitable for any economic activity and 5 million live in zones officially considered to be radioactively contaminated in Ukraine, Belarus and Russia. Much of the western media which has been reporting the long aftermath of the accident on its anniversary show an iconic picture of a doll abandoned in a wreck of a home.
Caesium-137 traces have declined in some agricultural products, but still are detected in wild mushrooms, berries and meat of wild animals which continue to remain part of the local population’s diet. Greenpeace tests confirmed the presence of these elements. As one old mother told a western journalist, the contamination isn’t visible, so why worry about it. Every survivor interviewed by the media, however, can recount a list of his fellow residents who are no longer living.
The Economist carried an article on April 26 which is a chilling reminder of the horrific consequences of nuclear power accidents. It was titled: A nuclear disaster that brought down an empire: Chernobyl led to thousands of deaths, including that of the Soviet Union.
The town of Pripyat near the station is eerily being reclaimed by forests. It is deserted except for tourists. The journal terms it a “Soviet Pompeii” and indeed reminds one of the hubris with which the Soviet Union plunged headlong into a massive investment in nuclear power plants and nuclear-powered weapons and submarines. That Russia continues to provide nuclear technology to India should remain a major cause for concern.
The last Soviet leader, Mikhail Gorbachev, recalled years later that the meltdown of the power plant “even more than my launch of perestroika [restructuring of the economy], was perhaps the real cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union five years later.” That should be a sobering thought to all votaries of nuclear power, which remains the biggest threat to the world’s environment as a single or a chain of events or accidents, as distinct from a long-term process like climate change.
In many ways, as much as the accident itself, the tragedy of Chernobyl was the initial attempt to put a lid over it. The first reports emanated from Sweden, where radioactive traces were detected. Firefighters from Kiev were trying to douse the fire, receiving deadly dose of radiation while doing so. The decision to evacuate Pripyat was made on April 26 evening and it was only a full two days later that the government issued a terse 15-second statement on the evening news: “There has been an accident at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant.”
It was Gorbachev who later decided to set the record straight and this set in motion a set of consequences – with glasnost or openness -- that led to the disintegration of the Soviet empire.
This is a grim reminder of the dangers of entering into a Faustian bargain by exposing human beings to the most toxic substances known in an elusive exchange for energy.